According to a study conducted by CLSA, China’s working population is likely to bear more and more burden of supporting the old and the young in the future. Based on the stats from United nations, CLSA calculates that the population ratio of working population to young and old will peak in 2010 and continue to go down in the future years. That means for every single working population, they are likely to suppot more young and olds in the following years. This shows the increasing stress and burden for the working population in China and a decreasing trend of labor supply in the future.
根据CLSA和联合国的数据显示,中国劳动力人口相对于老人和小孩的比例在2010年达到顶峰。这就意味着2010年以后,中国的劳动人口每年将不得不养更多的非劳动力人口。这不啻将成为压在中国青壮年身上的一座沉重的大山。简而言之,10年之后,中国经济增长的人口红利可能很快会耗尽,同时中青年一代的社会压力也会更重。
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#1 by Bill Rich on October 15, 2010 - 11:21 PM
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I would suggest that you use young&old/worker as indicator of burden. I will show the “growth” in much more clarity.
#2 by Wushu on October 16, 2010 - 7:06 AM
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Good point – in that case the graph would look more like a real “burden” in an increasing shape