Archive for category Equity China (股市风云)

China’s Electric Car Incentive (电动汽车前景诱人)

Electric Car Chinas Electric Car Incentive (电动汽车前景诱人) China is one of the countries that offer the greatest incentives to electric cars in the world (Click HERE for a related Story). Based on the latest data, China offers an incentive of about 8800 US Dollar for every unit of electric cars, only second to Denmark who offers almost 20,000 USD for every unit of green car. Continue (继续)

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China’s Bank Loan likely to breach quota in 2010 (贷款洪潮)

loan Chinas Bank Loan likely to breach quota in 2010 (贷款洪潮)It looks likely that China’s bank loan this year will exceed the quota again. For 2010 China banks have a loan quota of 7.5 trillion RMB for the whole year. By the end of Oct, a total loan of 6.8 trillion has already been made. For 2 months to go before the year end, it would be very difficult for the country’s banks to keep the loan within the quota (Click HERE for an Article on this subject). Continue (继续)

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China’s PE: All About IPO (要圈钱,去股市)

china ipo China’s PE: All About IPO (要圈钱,去股市)How does China’s PE get out of their investment? The answer is simple: IPO. In 2010 up till November, 86.1% of the nation’s PE exit their investment through IPO. There are also other types of exits such as M&A, Ownership transfer and Buy Back. Continue (继续)

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Internet the big winner of China VC Investment (互联网的第二次革命)

china vc investment Internet the big winner of China VC Investment (互联网的第二次革命)Internet becomes the sexy baby of China’s VC investment again, at least in 2010. Up till November, VC funds have invested a total of more than 500 million USD in China’s Internet sector. Such an investment mania is not that surprising following the success of Youku, Tudou and Alibaba. The next to follow is Clean Tech (more than 450 million) Continue (继续)

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A mania of VC in China (风险投资盛宴中华)

china vc A mania of VC in China (风险投资盛宴中华)VC funds have had a great year in China in 2010. Every time I talk to some friends in PE or VC industry in China, I get the feeling that there are so many liquidity in the country chasing projects. For example, a website designing cartoons without any unique edge can easily be chased after by several RMB or USD funds with millions of cheque in hand. Continue (继续)

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2010 IPO is all about Banks (炒股先炒银行股)

ipo1 2010 IPO is all about Banks (炒股先炒银行股)Now that it is almost at the end of the year, probably it is a good idea to do a summary of IPO market in Hongkong. According to the stats that we collect, in 2010 HK stock market has raised a total of about 410 Billion HKD. About 60% of the fund raised are in financial sector (mainly big banks from China), followed by Material and Consumer Discretionary. Continue (继续)

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IPO is all about China (要上市来中国)

IT is all about China when the market comes to IPO. You might not believe it or don’t like it. However, the fact is, if you look at the top ten IPOs in the past 10 years, it is all about China (almost):

The World’s Largest IPO since 2000
Company IPO Date Fund Raised (USD Bn) Domicile
ABC Dec-08 $19,222 China
ICBC Feb-06 $19,112 China
AIA May-10 $17,729 HK
VISA Nov-07 $17,052 USA
GM Aug-10 $15,774 USA
CCB Aug-07 $15,681 China
SMIC Feb-04 $14,012 HK
BOC Aug-05 $12,195 China
Shenhua Energy Sep-07 $11,798 China
Dai-ichi Feb-10 $10,912 Japan

Source: Bloomberg

过去10年如果讲上市,就不得不提中国。上表提供了过去10年在全球上市的最大的10家公司,其中7家来自中国。

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24 hours of Shanghai Stock Market (股市全球转)

cap 24 hours of Shanghai Stock Market (股市全球转)It is widely reported that Shanghai’s stock exchange aims to increase the trading hours to 24 hours by 2020 (click here for the story). Whether such a goal is realistic is a topic for another day. However a fact worth noting is the growing market impact of China’s stock market in the past decade. In fact, in the past 7 years, Continue (继续)

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On the road to the biggest car nation (朋友你买车了么)

car On the road to the biggest car nation (朋友你买车了么)China is under the way towards an unprecedented big nation of cars. In 2010 China surpassed USA to become world’s biggest country of car sales annually. This trend is poised to continue. According to JP Morgan China will likely have about 140 million cars on the road by 2015. Continue (继续)

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Which sector performs well in Inflation (通胀买啥股)

infl Which sector performs well in Inflation (通胀买啥股)China’s latest inflation number (4.4% in Oct Y-o-Y) has caught attention and concern of a lot of people (Click HERE for a story from FT). PBOC has reacted by raising the RRR and interest rate in a seemingly agressive fashion. Which sector is most resillient to inflation becomes the natural question for stock investors. Continue (继续)

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Investment Mania back to Stock Market (股市又热)

spec Investment Mania back to Stock Market (股市又热)It seems that the investment enthusiasm is back to the stock market. According to the stats from CEIC, the Shanghai stock exchange turn over has continued to climb higher and now is at the historical high. This is particularly relevant in the environment that the government Continue (继续)

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PBOC’s rate increase is asymmetrical (看似对称的不对称加息)

rate PBOCs rate increase is asymmetrical (看似对称的不对称加息)On Oct 20, 2010, PBOC announced to increase the interest rate on both deposit and lending sides. Overall it looks like a symetrical increase, as on average both deposit and lending rates have been increased by 25 basis points. However, if one looks into the detail, in fact the rate increase is asymmetrical. For example, Continue (继续)

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Chanos: I have never been to China but We are still Short China (查诺斯继续看空中国)

Jim Chanos is still bearish on China and still short property stocks and commodity stocks related to China. Obviously Chanos has been hurt recently. However, he still holds his view firm and thinks that China’s building boom will not end up well. Chanos will also show up in the coming movie: Wall Street 2 – Money never sleeps. Interestingly Chanos has never been to China.

查诺斯曾经说过中国房地产泡沫是1000个迪拜。最近他在接受CNBC访问时表示他们继续看空中国。他感觉中国的投资拉动型经济增长会有恶劣的后果。同时他表示自己从来没去过中国,但是显然他做过很多关于中国的细致的研究。

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A decade of Emerging Markets (新兴市场十年辉煌)

em A decade of Emerging Markets (新兴市场十年辉煌)The past ten years can be labeled as the decade of the emerging markets. Based on MSCI World Equity Index, the stock market in emerging markets including China has outperformed that of USA and Japan by far. The best performer is Russian equity market, Continue (继续)

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CMB the Biggest Winner on Stock Market (招行股市呼风唤雨)

chn bank CMB the Biggest Winner on Stock Market (招行股市呼风唤雨)China Merchant Bank is the best performer in terms of absolute return and relative return to benchmark in the last 12 months, according to a latest study. The share price (H) of CMB has increased about 25% in the last 12 months, and up more than 10% Continue (继续)

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Chinese Real Estate Shares valuation at low end (地产股估值处于低价位)

chinese prop pe Chinese Real Estate Shares valuation at low end (地产股估值处于低价位)China Property companies’ share valuation is at the lower end compared to historical records. Since 2003, China’s property stocks have been trading at a multiple between 9X and 60X. The multiple collapsed in end 2008/early 2009 to touch a low in the last 10 years, Continue (继续)

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Does it Matter? (投资无差异)

hs vs spi Does it Matter? (投资无差异)A look back of the stock market in the last 2 years shows that if one invests some money in the US stock market, he would have got exactly the same return as if he had invested in the China’s stock market (Hang Seng Index). The chart shows that the two stock Continue (继续)

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Mantel: More downside on China’s Property and Banking sector (房地产和银行股还有下跌空间)

Andy Mantel is the Managing Director of Pacific Sun Investment Management Ltd. During an interview with Bloomberg, Andy reckons that there are still downside potential for China’s property and Banking sector. Continue (继续)

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China Equity has more downside to go (股市还有下跌空间)

China saudi China Equity has more downside to go (股市还有下跌空间)A comparison between China’s equity market and that of Saudi Arab’s shows more potential downside of China’s equity market. Saudi Arab’s equity market started to climb up around 2000 and continues to the top in 2008. During 2008 Saudi’s property bubble burst badly, Continue (继续)

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China’s Secret of Growth (增长秘籍)

China Labor Cost Chinas Secret of Growth (增长秘籍)What’s the secret of China’s economic growth in the last two decades? Such is a question that has bothered numerous economists. One of the answers seems to lie in the increase in productivity. Continue (继续)

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China’s Property Sector most hit in Q1 (房产股第一季度受重创)

China Sector PErformance Chinas Property Sector most hit in Q1 (房产股第一季度受重创)China’s Property Sector of the stock market has been hit hard during Q1 of 2010. In 2009, MSCI property sector gained about 85%. During Q1 2010, Continue (继续)

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Financial Sector is cheap (金融行业股票低估)

China PE Financial Sector is cheap (金融行业股票低估)A cross section analysis of China’s stock market shows that the Financial sector now is showing the lowest PE compared to the rest. Continue (继续)

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Roubini: China Risks Significant Slowdown (末日博士唱衰中国)

Nouriel Roubini has a nickname of ‘Dr Doom’. Recently on the interview with Bloomerg, Dr Roubini opinions that there is significant risk of slowdown in China. Continue (继续)

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China’s Equity Market affected by Greek Disease (希腊恐慌带来抛盘压力)

HS Index Chinas Equity Market affected by Greek Disease (希腊恐慌带来抛盘压力)China’s Equity market (H) went through a decent correction during the last week. This is the second consecutive week of a down market. From a recent high of 22,000 in the first half of April, Hang Seng has corrected almost 10% to 20,000 (See Graph on the top left). Continue (继续)

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Asia equity market outperform after RMB Appreciation (人民币升值大宴)

Equity Mkt RMB Asia equity market outperform after RMB Appreciation (人民币升值大宴)Above study intends to evaluate the impact of RMB appreciation on equity market in different parts of the world. The chart is the performance of equity market in local currency and USD during 6 months after the RMB appreciation in July 2005. Continue (继续)

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