Archive for category Property China (房产透视)

Walking by the Thames (泰晤士镇见闻)

aa 300x225 Walking by the Thames (泰晤士镇见闻) Think you are in a quiet corner of London? Not at all. This is “Thames Town” in Song Jiang District of Shanghai. Last month I had an opportunity to visit the town with my cousins.

My first impression was that the town was really big. I did not count the number of houses there but I estimated that it could take us easily 20 – 30 minutes to go through the whole town, in cars. The style of the buildings was impressive, even to those who have lived in London before. Literally you can barely tell the difference between “Thames Town” and the true London. The whole town was constructed in such a high quality copy style that you feel like walking on those small streets full of pebbles that have gone through hundreds of years. From streets to streets, you can even see guards standing at the entrance of some villas in the traditional English style uniforms, with a yellow face though. 

My next feeling was that the town was really empty. The only people who were active there were those young couples who were busy taking their wedding photos, and the property agents who were trying to sell houses there. I seldom saw any residents. To be fair, it is probably not an ideal place for people to live there. First it is in Song Jiang, a suburban area in Southwestern Shanghai. If you have a job in the down town or CBD, it is probably not that convenient for you to drive back and forth on a daily basis, which could easily take you one hour plus one way depending on the traffic. Read the rest of this entry »

share save 171 16 Walking by the Thames (泰晤士镇见闻)

China’s Housing Price still too High (房价还是太高)

p3 Chinas Housing Price still too High (房价还是太高)Recently the housing price in China seemed to have calmed down. However, it is probably still too high considering the price of the house to the income level of the local residents. It is estimated that Dalian and Hangzhou have the highest (housing) price to income ratio in China. Internationally the price to income ratio need to come down to below 8 for houses to become affordable – in China only Changsha and Dongguan seem to be affordable under this criteria.

中国的房价是否还太高?上面这幅图可以给我们一些解答。根据国际水平,房价和收入比低于8才能满足大部分人的购房需求。在中国,大部分城市的房价收入比仍旧远高于8,因此最近房价的下跌似乎没有起到让老百姓买得起房的作用。

share save 171 16 Chinas Housing Price still too High (房价还是太高)

China’s Growth Heavily Dependent on Steel (钢筋水泥撑起GDP)

p2 Chinas Growth Heavily Dependent on Steel (钢筋水泥撑起GDP)China’s GDP growth is heavily dependent on the use of Steel, which has been growing steadily in the past 20 years. Such a fact showed how reliant China’s growth is on infrastructure building and property development in the past two decades.

中国经济在过去二十年的增速和基础设施以及房地产的开发是分不开的。根据一些研究机构的报告显示,每年中国GDP增长需要依靠越来越多的钢材,显示出中国经济增长的真正来源。

share save 171 16 Chinas Growth Heavily Dependent on Steel (钢筋水泥撑起GDP)

A Comparison between China and US housing Price (中美房价对比)

house A Comparison between China and US housing Price (中美房价对比)IS China’s housing price expensive? Depends. Expensive is always a relative concept. This chart compares the housing price in a lot of Chinese cities to that of the United States, and it seems that the housing prices in two countries are quite similar.

中国房价贵么?要看你怎么看了。贵和便宜一直是一个相对概念。这张图表对比了中国和美国十几个大城市的平均房价。看起来似乎中美两国的房价差不多。

share save 171 16 A Comparison between China and US housing Price (中美房价对比)

China’s GDP heavily relies on property (GDP靠房产)

house1 Chinas GDP heavily relies on property (GDP靠房产)

How important is China’s property sector to her GDP? What is the contribution of China’s real estate to the country’s economy? A lot of people would say very important. But this graph shows a better picture by quantifying the importance: Read the rest of this entry »

share save 171 16 Chinas GDP heavily relies on property (GDP靠房产)

China’s Construction Boom (房产泡沫倒计时)

house Chinas Construction Boom (房产泡沫倒计时)Does China have a property bubble? If so what stage is the bubble at? Will the bubble burst? These are questions that have been debated repeatedly among scholars and market observers, yet with strong divided opinions. One of the reasons for the divided views is that it seems quite difficult to agree on the facts to start with. Take the construction pace, for example. Read the rest of this entry »

share save 171 16 Chinas Construction Boom (房产泡沫倒计时)

Back to Ordos in 2 Years (再探鬼城)

It’s been 2 years since the empty city of Ordos has been reported. So what the city looks like after 2 years? This video takes you there.

2年前,内蒙鬼城鄂尔多斯被媒体曝光。2年后的今天,这个城市有什么变化呢?

share save 171 16 Back to Ordos in 2 Years (再探鬼城)

No worry for Chinese banks (银行很安全)

Bank Exposure No worry for Chinese banks (银行很安全)Recently there is a lot of worry about the outlook of Chinese banks as concerns of property bubble burst continue to grow. If one looks at the exposure of banks to property sector, however, it seems that Chinese property developers and house buyers are not that leveraged compared to Australia and Singapore. The exposure of bank loans to property sector is relatively measured in China.

近来关于中国房地产泡沫破裂的言论尘嚣甚上,也有人因此担心中国银行的安全。但是看一下中国银行贷款对房地产界的贷款率便知,其实中国的房地产开发商和购房者并没有很高的杠杆率,其贷款比和澳大利亚以及新加坡相比要低很多,因此这方面的担心可能是多余的.

share save 171 16 No worry for Chinese banks (银行很安全)

Tick Tick of China’s Time Bomb (子弹在飞?)

loan Tick Tick of Chinas Time Bomb (子弹在飞?)Is there a bubble in China’s construction sector? Is the property price over stretched in China? The answer seems to be certain. A lot of people view China’s property sector as a time bomb that will explode sooner or later (Click here for an interview with Jim Chanos, who is very bearish on China). However, the bears have been repeatedly wrong in the past few years. Read the rest of this entry »

share save 171 16 Tick Tick of Chinas Time Bomb (子弹在飞?)

Dongguan’s Ghost Mall (东莞空城计)

China went through a property boom in 2009/10. Yet the concerns on the property bubble are only growing stronger. Above is a video of an empty mall in Southern China.

鄂尔多斯有个空城,东莞有个空楼。这座所谓中国最大的购物大厦至今仍是空空如也,没有什么顾客光顾。

share save 171 16 Dongguans Ghost Mall (东莞空城计)

China’s Big Plan on Social Housing (保障性住房关乎民生)

social Chinas Big Plan on Social Housing (保障性住房关乎民生)China’s government has launched a few measures to cool down the domestic property mania. One of the measures is to build more social housing (Click HERE for a Reuters Story). The social housing is built to be rented to the low income families who are unable to afford to buy their own home. Accoridng to the release from NDRC, in 2010 the government will increase the building of social housing to about 5 million units, Read the rest of this entry »

share save 171 16 Chinas Big Plan on Social Housing (保障性住房关乎民生)

New Graduating College Students need house (大学毕业新生支撑购房需求)

college New Graduating College Students need house (大学毕业新生支撑购房需求)Is China’s housing market in a bubble? Will China’s real estate price go up or down? What are the factors behind to support an ever increasing housing price in China? These are all big tough questions. Recently a graph from Credit Suiss caught Chinatells’ attention. Read the rest of this entry »

share save 171 16 New Graduating College Students need house (大学毕业新生支撑购房需求)

Economic Housing Space being squeezed out (经济房越建越少)

social Economic Housing Space being squeezed out (经济房越建越少)China’s production of houses has been increasing at least as rapid as the economic growth in the past decade. However, the proportion of economic housing space, which is supposed to be supplied to those who are unable to afford to a house, has continued to decrease on a proportional basis. According to the data from CEIC, the total floor space constructed has increased from around 100 million Read the rest of this entry »

share save 171 16 Economic Housing Space being squeezed out (经济房越建越少)

China’s Land Price increases faster than GDP (地价超涨进行时)

house Chinas Land Price increases faster than GDP (地价超涨进行时)Recently a graph from JP Morgan has caught the attention of Chinatells. According to the stats compiled by JPM, China’s residential land price change (YoY) has always lagged that of GDP, until end of 2009/beginning of 2010. Since then, the land price increase has surpassed that of GDP increase. Read the rest of this entry »

share save 171 16 Chinas Land Price increases faster than GDP (地价超涨进行时)

China Property Companies’ Land Acquisition Shrinking (房企拿地渐少)

china prop land China Property Companies Land Acquisition Shrinking (房企拿地渐少)It seems that the pace of Chinese property companies’ acquisition of land has been slowing down since Jan. According to a latest research from Centaline, the land acquisition for the 10 biggest property companies has shrunk from more than 2 million Read the rest of this entry »

share save 171 16 China Property Companies Land Acquisition Shrinking (房企拿地渐少)

Shanghai House increasingly unaffordable (上海人真苦)

afford Shanghai House increasingly unaffordable (上海人真苦)The housing price in Shanghai is increasingly unaffordable according to a latest study. The Shanghai housing price affordability index has continued to go up since 2008, reaching almost the high in 2004. An increase in such an index shows Read the rest of this entry »

share save 171 16 Shanghai House increasingly unaffordable (上海人真苦)

Chinese Real Estate Shares valuation at low end (地产股估值处于低价位)

chinese prop pe Chinese Real Estate Shares valuation at low end (地产股估值处于低价位)China Property companies’ share valuation is at the lower end compared to historical records. Since 2003, China’s property stocks have been trading at a multiple between 9X and 60X. The multiple collapsed in end 2008/early 2009 to touch a low in the last 10 years, Read the rest of this entry »

share save 171 16 Chinese Real Estate Shares valuation at low end (地产股估值处于低价位)

More downside for China housing price (房价走势不容乐观)

china property More downside for China housing price (房价走势不容乐观)China’s housing price might have more potential to go down rather than go up. A review of the relationship between the price of China’s national property price and Chinese real estate companies listed on A share shows such a trend. Read the rest of this entry »

share save 171 16 More downside for China housing price (房价走势不容乐观)

China’s Housing supply in First Tier City still tight (一线城市供房依旧紧张)

china house Chinas Housing supply in First Tier City still tight (一线城市供房依旧紧张)The recent tightening measure from the central government in the property sector has brought some hope for those who are still short of a flat. Read the rest of this entry »

share save 171 16 Chinas Housing supply in First Tier City still tight (一线城市供房依旧紧张)

China Household not leveraged (房贷还有上升空间)

household leverage1 China Household not leveraged (房贷还有上升空间)A cross nation comparison shows that China’s households are not leveraged at all in terms of house mortgage. In the last ten years, Read the rest of this entry »

share save 171 16 China Household not leveraged (房贷还有上升空间)

Mantel: More downside on China’s Property and Banking sector (房地产和银行股还有下跌空间)

Andy Mantel is the Managing Director of Pacific Sun Investment Management Ltd. During an interview with Bloomberg, Andy reckons that there are still downside potential for China’s property and Banking sector. Read the rest of this entry »

share save 171 16 Mantel: More downside on Chinas Property and Banking sector (房地产和银行股还有下跌空间)

China’s Housing Price Tops the World (中国房价冠绝全球)

World City Housing Price Income Ratio Chinas Housing Price Tops the World (中国房价冠绝全球)China’s Housing Price is the highest in the world based on housing price/income ratio and far leads the second runners. According to a latest study, Read the rest of this entry »

share save 171 16 Chinas Housing Price Tops the World (中国房价冠绝全球)

China’s Property Sector most hit in Q1 (房产股第一季度受重创)

China Sector PErformance Chinas Property Sector most hit in Q1 (房产股第一季度受重创)China’s Property Sector of the stock market has been hit hard during Q1 of 2010. In 2009, MSCI property sector gained about 85%. During Q1 2010, Read the rest of this entry »

share save 171 16 Chinas Property Sector most hit in Q1 (房产股第一季度受重创)

China Property Price Review (二月房价调查)

China Housing Feb China Property Price Review (二月房价调查)China’s Property price has caused attention from the central government, and the state council has released a series of policies to curb the speculation in property market. Read the rest of this entry »

share save 171 16 China Property Price Review (二月房价调查)

Hainan leads property boom in 2009 (要炒楼,去海南)

China City Property Price Change Hainan leads property boom in 2009 (要炒楼,去海南)Two cities in Hainan Province of China lead the property boom in 2009 across the nation. The housing price in Haikou and Sanya went up around 60% y-o-y in 2009, Read the rest of this entry »

share save 171 16 Hainan leads property boom in 2009 (要炒楼,去海南)
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