Archive for category Stats China (统计图表)

Economic Housing Space being squeezed out (经济房越建越少)

China’s production of houses has been increasing at least as rapid as the economic growth in the past decade. However, the proportion of economic housing space, which is supposed to be supplied to those who are unable to afford to a house, has continued to decrease on a proportional basis. According to the data from CEIC, the total floor space constructed has increased from around 100 million Continue (继续)

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A debate on Capital vs Labor (劳力资本之争)

According to the classic Marxist economic theory (which is the mostly taught economics in China), three factors are key for productivity: Capital, Labor and Land. Among them, according to Marx, the most important factor is labor. Following this logic, Continue (继续)

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Minimum Wage highest in Shanghai (上海工资高)

According to the data from CEIC and JP Morgan, China’s minimum wage has been increased across the country. Among different areas, the minimum wage in Shanghai is the highest, exceeding 1100 RMB per month. To follow are some other Eastern regions such as Zhejiang, Fujian and Guangdong. The minimum wage in the West is relatively lower. Continue (继续)

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China Housing Critical to World Metal Demand (金属市场要看中国房地产脸色)

The world Metal’s demand is highly dependent on China’s housing sector. According to the latest stats from World Bureau of Metal Statistics, China’s housing sector accounts for a big chunk of demand for some of the metals such as Steel, Zinc and Copper. Continue (继续)

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An uptrend of bulk cargo to China (贸易量的成倍上升)

China’s Share of Global Bulk Cargo has continued to go up since 1995. The share of China increased from about 15% of global bulk volume to more than 30% by 2009. Such is a reflection of the growth of China’s economic strength and growing importance in world cross boarder trade. Continue (继续)

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A decade of Emerging Markets (新兴市场十年辉煌)

The past ten years can be labeled as the decade of the emerging markets. Based on MSCI World Equity Index, the stock market in emerging markets including China has outperformed that of USA and Japan by far. The best performer is Russian equity market, Continue (继续)

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Labor Income slides down in GDP (不患寡,患不均)

There is an old saying in China that: it is fine to have little, but it is problematic to distribute unevenly. The Chinese wisdom is powerful in explaining the world that we are living in. According to a study by Bank of America, the labor income as a percentage of GDP in China has continued to decrease despite the fact that total income has increased in the last 20 years. Continue (继续)

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China’s Land Price increases faster than GDP (地价超涨进行时)

Recently a graph from JP Morgan has caught the attention of Chinatells. According to the stats compiled by JPM, China’s residential land price change (YoY) has always lagged that of GDP, until end of 2009/beginning of 2010. Since then, the land price increase has surpassed that of GDP increase. Continue (继续)

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China’s Fiscal Stimulus is being withdrawn (财政刺激悄悄退出)

China government unleashed the world’s most aggressive stimulus plan in ’09 for 4 trillion RMB. Due to the scale of such a stimulus, the fiscal deficit has grown exponentially to more than 800 billion RMB at one point. Since the beginning of 2010, however, Continue (继续)

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China might have bought more UST through UK (暗度陈仓玩美债)

According to a latest study from Standard Chartered Bank, China has been slowing down in the direct purchase of US Treasury since January 2010. However, it is likely that China has been purchasing more US treasury through UK and Hongkong. Continue (继续)

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Re-Balance or Re-imbalance? (平衡与反平衡)

The global financial crisis in 08/09 has pushed many scholars and economists to think what is the cause behind the crisis and the measure to address it. One of the most frequently quoted cause is the global imbalance in trade: Continue (继续)

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Shenzhen has the highest urbanization rate (深圳城市化百分百)

According to the stats from China’s Bureau of Statistics, Shenzhen has the highest urbanization rate in China, equal to 100%. The other cities with a relatively high urbanization rate are Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangzhou. In terms of population, Continue (继续)

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China Property Companies’ Land Acquisition Shrinking (房企拿地渐少)

It seems that the pace of Chinese property companies’ acquisition of land has been slowing down since Jan. According to a latest research from Centaline, the land acquisition for the 10 biggest property companies has shrunk from more than 2 million Continue (继续)

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The Mystery of China’s Grey Income (灰色收入探秘)

What is the real income of a Chinese household? There seems never a clear answer. The National Bureau of Statistics does release the estimate of Chinese household’s income on a national level. However, the figure looks unrealistically low. For example, according to the official f Continue (继续)

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CMB the Biggest Winner on Stock Market (招行股市呼风唤雨)

China Merchant Bank is the best performer in terms of absolute return and relative return to benchmark in the last 12 months, according to a latest study. The share price (H) of CMB has increased about 25% in the last 12 months, and up more than 10% Continue (继续)

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Shanghai House increasingly unaffordable (上海人真苦)

The housing price in Shanghai is increasingly unaffordable according to a latest study. The Shanghai housing price affordability index has continued to go up since 2008, reaching almost the high in 2004. An increase in such an index shows Continue (继续)

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Chinese Real Estate Shares valuation at low end (地产股估值处于低价位)

China Property companies’ share valuation is at the lower end compared to historical records. Since 2003, China’s property stocks have been trading at a multiple between 9X and 60X. The multiple collapsed in end 2008/early 2009 to touch a low in the last 10 years, Continue (继续)

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IT Service Spending has potential to go up (IT投资有上升空间)

China’s IT Service Spending has big potential to go up. According to a latest statistic study, China’s IT service spending amounts to only about 0.2% of the nation’s GDP during 2007 to 2009. In contrast, both Japan and USA spend more than 2% of their GDP on IT. Continue (继续)

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The strong balance sheet of China government (政府的财富)

China government has one of the world’s best balance sheet compared to most other foreign peers. Such a solid fiscal position can be revealed from China government’s debt level. Since 1996, China government’s domestic debt continues to Continue (继续)

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More downside for China housing price (房价走势不容乐观)

China’s housing price might have more potential to go down rather than go up. A review of the relationship between the price of China’s national property price and Chinese real estate companies listed on A share shows such a trend. Continue (继续)

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China’s Housing supply in First Tier City still tight (一线城市供房依旧紧张)

The recent tightening measure from the central government in the property sector has brought some hope for those who are still short of a flat. Continue (继续)

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China’s Copper Import starts to slow (原铜进口渐弱)

China’s copper import in May continues to slow down after the country posted a high in March. Overall the import of copper in the first half of 2010 is almost at the similar pace of that in 2009, but much higher than that of 2008. Continue (继续)

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China’s Labor Cost Minimal in COGS (劳动力成本微乎其微)

The labor cost in Chinese manufacturing’s Cost of Goods Sold (COGS) is at a minimal level according to a latest survey. In the Total Market, the Labor Cost/COGS is only around 1.4%. Continue (继续)

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China’s May Data shows continued Growth (五月数据显示经济持续增长)

China’s May Data released by Bureau of Statistics paints a picture of continued robust growth in export, manufacturing and mild growth of monetary base. Continue (继续)

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Does it Matter? (投资无差异)

A look back of the stock market in the last 2 years shows that if one invests some money in the US stock market, he would have got exactly the same return as if he had invested in the China’s stock market (Hang Seng Index). The chart shows that the two stock Continue (继续)

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