Archive for July, 2010

The Mystery of China’s Grey Income (灰色收入探秘)

grey The Mystery of Chinas Grey Income (灰色收入探秘)What is the real income of a Chinese household? There seems never a clear answer. The National Bureau of Statistics does release the estimate of Chinese household’s income on a national level. However, the figure looks unrealistically low. For example, according to the official f Read the rest of this entry »

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CMB the Biggest Winner on Stock Market (招行股市呼风唤雨)

chn bank CMB the Biggest Winner on Stock Market (招行股市呼风唤雨)China Merchant Bank is the best performer in terms of absolute return and relative return to benchmark in the last 12 months, according to a latest study. The share price (H) of CMB has increased about 25% in the last 12 months, and up more than 10% Read the rest of this entry »

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Shanghai House increasingly unaffordable (上海人真苦)

afford Shanghai House increasingly unaffordable (上海人真苦)The housing price in Shanghai is increasingly unaffordable according to a latest study. The Shanghai housing price affordability index has continued to go up since 2008, reaching almost the high in 2004. An increase in such an index shows Read the rest of this entry »

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Chinese Real Estate Shares valuation at low end (地产股估值处于低价位)

chinese prop pe Chinese Real Estate Shares valuation at low end (地产股估值处于低价位)China Property companies’ share valuation is at the lower end compared to historical records. Since 2003, China’s property stocks have been trading at a multiple between 9X and 60X. The multiple collapsed in end 2008/early 2009 to touch a low in the last 10 years, Read the rest of this entry »

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IT Service Spending has potential to go up (IT投资有上升空间)

it IT Service Spending has potential to go up (IT投资有上升空间)China’s IT Service Spending has big potential to go up. According to a latest statistic study, China’s IT service spending amounts to only about 0.2% of the nation’s GDP during 2007 to 2009. In contrast, both Japan and USA spend more than 2% of their GDP on IT. Read the rest of this entry »

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The strong balance sheet of China government (政府的财富)

china debt The strong balance sheet of China government (政府的财富)China government has one of the world’s best balance sheet compared to most other foreign peers. Such a solid fiscal position can be revealed from China government’s debt level. Since 1996, China government’s domestic debt continues to Read the rest of this entry »

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More downside for China housing price (房价走势不容乐观)

china property More downside for China housing price (房价走势不容乐观)China’s housing price might have more potential to go down rather than go up. A review of the relationship between the price of China’s national property price and Chinese real estate companies listed on A share shows such a trend. Read the rest of this entry »

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Why Speculators will lose big on the RMB Bet (豪赌人民币得不偿失)

rmb Why Speculators will lose big on the RMB Bet (豪赌人民币得不偿失)Since the announcement from PBOC to de-peg RMB from USD, the market has been excited about the movement of RMB. In fact, since June 18 when the announcement was made, RMB has appreciated a whopping 0.87% from 6.83 to 6.77 during a Read the rest of this entry »

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China’s Housing supply in First Tier City still tight (一线城市供房依旧紧张)

china house Chinas Housing supply in First Tier City still tight (一线城市供房依旧紧张)The recent tightening measure from the central government in the property sector has brought some hope for those who are still short of a flat. Read the rest of this entry »

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China’s Copper Import starts to slow (原铜进口渐弱)

copper Chinas Copper Import starts to slow (原铜进口渐弱)China’s copper import in May continues to slow down after the country posted a high in March. Overall the import of copper in the first half of 2010 is almost at the similar pace of that in 2009, but much higher than that of 2008. Read the rest of this entry »

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China’s Labor Cost Minimal in COGS (劳动力成本微乎其微)

chinese labor Chinas Labor Cost Minimal in COGS (劳动力成本微乎其微)The labor cost in Chinese manufacturing’s Cost of Goods Sold (COGS) is at a minimal level according to a latest survey. In the Total Market, the Labor Cost/COGS is only around 1.4%. Read the rest of this entry »

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