Archive for September, 2010

Will China repeat the route of Japan/Korea? (日韩前车之鉴)

slow Will China repeat the route of Japan/Korea? (日韩前车之鉴)China’s GDP growth has been maintained above 10% for the past two decades. However, whether China can continue to sustain such growth is largely questioned. According to a recent report from Morgan Stanley, there is a likelihood that China’s growth Read the rest of this entry »

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New Graduating College Students need house (大学毕业新生支撑购房需求)

college New Graduating College Students need house (大学毕业新生支撑购房需求)Is China’s housing market in a bubble? Will China’s real estate price go up or down? What are the factors behind to support an ever increasing housing price in China? These are all big tough questions. Recently a graph from Credit Suiss caught Chinatells’ attention. Read the rest of this entry »

share save 171 16 New Graduating College Students need house (大学毕业新生支撑购房需求)

Chanos: I have never been to China but We are still Short China (查诺斯继续看空中国)

Jim Chanos is still bearish on China and still short property stocks and commodity stocks related to China. Obviously Chanos has been hurt recently. However, he still holds his view firm and thinks that China’s building boom will not end up well. Chanos will also show up in the coming movie: Wall Street 2 – Money never sleeps. Interestingly Chanos has never been to China.

查诺斯曾经说过中国房地产泡沫是1000个迪拜。最近他在接受CNBC访问时表示他们继续看空中国。他感觉中国的投资拉动型经济增长会有恶劣的后果。同时他表示自己从来没去过中国,但是显然他做过很多关于中国的细致的研究。

share save 171 16 Chanos: I have never been to China but We are still Short China (查诺斯继续看空中国)

Decouple Deja Vu (脱钩再现)

table121 Decouple Deja Vu (脱钩再现)In 2007 just before the great recession, a theory of ‘de-coupling’ caught the attention of most economists and market commentators. The argument goes that as the emerging markets such as China and India have developed robust domestic markets, they are likely to be de-coupled from a slow down of economic development in G7, lead by USA. Read the rest of this entry »

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Economic Housing Space being squeezed out (经济房越建越少)

social Economic Housing Space being squeezed out (经济房越建越少)China’s production of houses has been increasing at least as rapid as the economic growth in the past decade. However, the proportion of economic housing space, which is supposed to be supplied to those who are unable to afford to a house, has continued to decrease on a proportional basis. According to the data from CEIC, the total floor space constructed has increased from around 100 million Read the rest of this entry »

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A debate on Capital vs Labor (劳力资本之争)

cap A debate on Capital vs Labor (劳力资本之争)According to the classic Marxist economic theory (which is the mostly taught economics in China), three factors are key for productivity: Capital, Labor and Land. Among them, according to Marx, the most important factor is labor. Following this logic, Read the rest of this entry »

share save 171 16 A debate on Capital vs Labor (劳力资本之争)

Minimum Wage highest in Shanghai (上海工资高)

wage Minimum Wage highest in Shanghai (上海工资高)According to the data from CEIC and JP Morgan, China’s minimum wage has been increased across the country. Among different areas, the minimum wage in Shanghai is the highest, exceeding 1100 RMB per month. To follow are some other Eastern regions such as Zhejiang, Fujian and Guangdong. The minimum wage in the West is relatively lower. Read the rest of this entry »

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China Housing Critical to World Metal Demand (金属市场要看中国房地产脸色)

metal China Housing Critical to World Metal Demand (金属市场要看中国房地产脸色)The world Metal’s demand is highly dependent on China’s housing sector. According to the latest stats from World Bureau of Metal Statistics, China’s housing sector accounts for a big chunk of demand for some of the metals such as Steel, Zinc and Copper. Read the rest of this entry »

share save 171 16 China Housing Critical to World Metal Demand (金属市场要看中国房地产脸色)

An uptrend of bulk cargo to China (贸易量的成倍上升)

bulk An uptrend of bulk cargo to China (贸易量的成倍上升)China’s Share of Global Bulk Cargo has continued to go up since 1995. The share of China increased from about 15% of global bulk volume to more than 30% by 2009. Such is a reflection of the growth of China’s economic strength and growing importance in world cross boarder trade. Read the rest of this entry »

share save 171 16 An uptrend of bulk cargo to China (贸易量的成倍上升)